Football Betting

Surging Reds ready brooms for visiting Brewers

Baseball Betting Lines

09/01/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cincinnati is already getting playoff fever, but the city now has to deal with "Chapmania" as well.

The highly-regarded Aroldis Chapman is coming off an electric debut and could get a chance tonight to help the first-place Reds notch their first home sweep of at least three games over the Milwaukee Brewers since 2002.

The Reds have taken the first two contests of this three-game series at Great American Ball Park, giving them a victory in all four home meetings this year versus the Brewers and six of seven overall between the teams. Cincinnati swept a quick two-game set with Milwaukee at home from May 17-18, but tonight can record its first three-game home sweep of the Brewers since May 6-8, 2002.

Thanks in part to three runs batted in by Joey Votto in last night's 8-4 triumph, as well as a 19-8 mark in August, the Reds upped their season-high lead over the second-place Cardinals in the National League Central to seven games.

Votto, who is on a 10-game hitting streak, improved his league-leading average (.327) and RBI (97) totals, and the Triple Crown threat is tied for third in the NL with 32 homers.

Jonny Gomes added a two-run homer in the Reds' third straight win and fifth in their last six games, but all eyes were on the 22-year-old Chapman in the eighth inning. The flame-thrower retired all three batters he faced, including Jonathan Lucroy by a strikeout to begin the frame, and topped out at 102 mph.

"I'm sure it's very exciting for his teammates to see the electric stuff that he has," Cincinnati general manager Walt Jocketty said of Chapman.

Cincinnati's Jay Bruce, who has five homers over his last four games, did not play last night due to pain in his right side, and it is unknown if he will return tonight.

The Brewers, meanwhile, have lost four straight to the Reds as well as six of their last nine overall. They got a solo homer out of Rickie Weeks and an early RBI hit by Prince Fielder last night, but starter Yovani Gallardo was rocked for eight runs over five innings.

"In order for us to beat these guys, we've got to play great ball," Brewers manager Ken Macha said.

Milwaukee will need to be on its game tonight against Cincinnati starter Johnny Cueto, who bested the Brewers on May 17 with seven innings of one-run ball and is 2-1 with a 2.97 earned run average against them lifetime.

The 24-year-old hit a bit of a rough patch over consecutive starts prior to Friday's outing against the Cubs. Cueto had allowed nine earned runs over his brief skid, but gave up just a run and six hits over eight innings in beating Chicago.

"He had good tempo, good rhythm," Reds manager Dusty Baker told his team's website of his right-hander. "He was throwing strikes. He mixed up his slider and changeups."

Cueto set a new career high for single-season wins after improving to 12-4 with a 3.49 ERA this year and brings an excellent 6-2 mark at home into this start.

Milwaukee's Chris Narveson is also coming off a solid outing, as he beat Pittsburgh on Friday after giving up just two runs over seven innings while striking out eight in a 7-2 triumph. The lefty upped his season record to 10-7 with a 5.52 ERA in 31 games (22 starts).

Narveson, 28, has made just one career start versus the Reds, and that outing came back on July 28. He was dealt a loss, yielding three runs over five innings.


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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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Super Bowl XLIII Betting - Super Bowl 2009

Super Bowl 2009, the Arizona Cardinals and the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Let’s take a look at the Super Bowl 2009 betting odds and the betting line and figure out where they’ve been and where they are going to go.

MySportsbook.com put up the Super Bowl 2009 betting odds late on Sunday night with the Pittsburgh Steelers favored by 6.5 points and a total betting line at 47.5 points.

Since then, however, the Super Bowl 2009 betting odds have seen a good deal of movement and you’ll want to be on top of where they are likely to move to make sure you get the best line value for the big game.

Since opening, the Super Bowl 2009 betting lines went to Steelers -7 in the span of roughly 3 hours but were quickly bought back down just minutes later to 6.5 again.

After that is took about 5-6 more hours before the betting line went back to -7 where it has sat for a while now and is likely to remain. The opening betting total of 47.5 was bet down right after the line became available and went to 47 within minutes.

Roughly a day later it has been bet even further down to the 46.5 tally it currently is set at.

Roughly 60% of gamblers seem to be on the Cardinals here so the point spread will be bet down and a 7.5 would not last very long at all with many taking the early 6.5 in hopes of finding a potential middle in the Super Bowl 2009 betting odds.

If you like Arizona and see a 7.5, I’d take it as soon as possible because it’s unlikely to last. For Pittsburgh backers, the -7 might be the best you’ll be able to find but a 6.5 is definitely possible close to game time.

Regarding the Super Bowl 2009 betting odds for the total, most tracked gamblers are already on the over and with those who took the under 47.5 already securing a middle on the over 46.5, the only way I see it moving is back up to 47 so if you like the over, I’d recommend betting now.

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